There could also be some reduction in sight for traders.
Long-time market bull Ed Yardeni believes the painful sell-off is working out of steam.
“I do not count on greater than a backyard selection correction, which might be a 10-15% drop,” the Yardeni Research president informed CNBC’s “Trading Nation” on Friday.
Even although it has been a painful couple of weeks on Wall Street, Yardeni contends the pullback truly began Sept. 3 — a day after the S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq hit their all-time highs. As of Friday’s close, the S&P 500 is off 9% since then whereas the Nasdaq is off 9.5%
He cites frothiness within the tech sector as one of the original major catalysts.
“We’re nonetheless seeing that,” mentioned Yardeni. “And then, in fact, we have the renewed issues concerning the pandemic and once we’re lastly going to get a [coronavirus] vaccine. So, it isn’t as if the election goes to repair all the things.”
But it might repair one massive issue: Uncertainty.
Yardeni’s base case is Tuesday’s presidential election may have a transparent outcome inside days, and it’ll assist set the stage for a year-end rally. He speculates the S&P 500 will attain 3,500, a stage that is 2.5% under the all-time excessive hit Sept. 2.
By the center of subsequent yr, Yardeni predicts the index will attain 3,800, a 16% bounce from the present stage. He lists a post-presidential election setting, straightforward cash insurance policies, financial progress and coronavirus vaccine optimism as constructive drivers.
“It’s a continuation of the bull market that began means again in 2009, and it is simply been plagued with all of those panic assaults,” he mentioned. “I have been counting them. This is quantity 67.”
Yardeni, who spent many years on Wall Street working funding technique for companies akin to Prudential and Deutsche Bank, contends there are few locations aside from shares for traders to go proper now as a result of rates of interest are so near zero.
“There’s at all times going to be some churning round from possibly overvalued areas of the market to cheaper areas,” he mentioned. “That will deliver the market again.”
Yardeni additionally notes the financial restoration ought to nonetheless be robust sufficient to assist a document rally in 2021.
“It’s positively going to decelerate right here, and it might be extra of a Nike-swoosh [instead of V-shaped],” Yardeni mentioned. “But I do not see a double-dip. I do not see a W. I feel the economy will continue to do remarkably well within the face of all these challenges so long as we do not lock all the things down.”